While Rarotonga has been hit by some very wet weather lately, the outlook for Christmas-New Year is slightly brighter, says Cook Islands Met Service director Arona Ngari.
However, if you’re hoping to celebrate the day with a family
picnic on the beach, it might pay to have a “Plan B”.
He’s predicting the heavy rain we’ve experienced will ease
by Thursday or Friday, thanks to easterly winds and a high pressure system to
the south. By Christmas Day on Sunday, he says there’s a likelihood of showers
which will continue on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday of next week, thanks to a
low pressure system moving over the island. However, the showers are likely to
“That’s the good news – the rain will be nowhere near as
intense as it has been, and the showers will be more gentle,” Ngari says.
Earlier fears of a drought were unfounded, and Ngari says
looking back at historic weather patterns, long dry periods around November are
actually nothing new.
“People have short memories – they often forget how the
weather has been in the past.”
This year Ngari is holidaying for a couple of weeks in New
Zealand, but he’ll still be keeping a close eye on the weather in the Cook
Islands – and he’ll be back for the most unpredictable part of the cyclone
He says there’s a low likelihood of cyclones during the
first half of the season, but it’s a different story in February, the most
active month for tropical storms in our area, when cyclones could originate in
the New Caledonia region.
The cyclone season in the Cook Islands officially ends in