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Wednesday 16 February 2022 | Written by Caleb Fotheringham | Published in National, Weather
The month of May has masked a number of extreme weather events. PHOTO: CI NEWS/21021804
Arona Ngari said the risk is high because
February historically has had more cyclones than any other month.
“The risk for a cyclone forming is high so we
just have to monitor that, it could be something that will crop up,” Ngari
An additional sign pointing to a cyclone
forming is the high sea surface temperature sitting at 29 degrees Celsius.
The La Nina phase is also weakening which will
then move into a natural phase and likely into an El Nino phase.
Ngari said the Cook Islands would be at risk
if the weather phase moved to El Nino.
“We're still in the season and the risk of
this happening, especially in this month is pretty high,” he said.
However, Ngari said a low-pressure system was
missing for a cyclone to form.
He said it was needed for a cyclone to spin,
and form the eye of a tropical depression which can deepen into a tropical
For February, Rarotonga had recorded 88.1mm of
rain by 8am yesterday.
“A small number compared
to what we had for the full month of February last year of 551mm,” Ngari said.
The average February
rainfall is 204mm.
For sunshine, 19.2 hours were recorded for the
month to Monday. The average for February is 183 hours.
Ngari said strong wind will persist for a
couple of days with some showers, heavy at times with the odd thunderstorm.
“All in all, a
typical normal month for February,” he said.
“Just make sure you
have that brollie and raincoat handy for those passing showers.”