There is no cyclone threat for the Cook Islands this week, but there could be one closer to the New Year, says weatherman Arona Ngari.
However Ngari, the director of the Meteorological Service, said strong winds of 20 to 25 knots and occasional shower would remain in force throughout the week.
Ngari said the present strong winds were due to the “squashing” of the winds between high and low pressure system affecting the country.
“This has resulted in strong wind over the past five days and it will continue for the next two to three days.”
Ngari said the public need to take care while planning outdoor activities during the Christmas and Boxing Day holiday.
He said the Met Service was also closely monitoring a tropical disturbance, which if developed into a cyclone, could affect the Cook Islands in the New Year.
Ngari said as of yesterday, the tropical disturbance was located northwest of the Cook Islands and near Fiji.
According to The Fiji Times, a tropical cyclone is expected to develop and affect Fiji after Christmas.
It’s exact path and intensity would be known by today, it said.
Fiji Met told The Fiji Times a significant low pressure was expected to develop to the far north of Fiji and move towards the group by Thursday.
“The low-pressure system has a high chance of developing into a tropical cyclone,” a statement from the Fiji weather office said.
“The weather forecasting models agree the low may develop into a tropical cyclone but have some differences regarding the forecast track.
“As the system moves closer to Fiji, we should expect damaging to destructive-force winds and heavy rain which may lead to flooding.”
Arona Ngari said the Met Office would keep updating the public through radio and their website and social media pages on any developments involving the tropical disturbance.
Rarotonga and the other southern Cook Islands face an elevated cyclone risk in coming months.
Earlier this year, New Zealand’s National Institute for Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA) said there was possibility the southern group might experience two or more cyclones between November and April.